Responding to the authors of the book, Alastair Newton, senior political analyst at Nomura International, told CNBC that "decline-ism is very much in fashion and one can always find statistics which support the thesis. As, indeed, is much of the so-called third world," Newton said.
- Liberator: The Consolidated B-24.
- Night Calls the Raven: Book 2 of The Master of the Tane.
- The Metaphysics of Modern Existence.
- Desseins narratifs de larchitecture (Esthétiques) (French Edition).
- Site Information Navigation.
- There just isn't the political will, in Britain or elsewhere, to really act on our analysis!
- Global economic shifts.
These regional powers are three of the main strategic rivals for the US, and their influence in regional geopolitics has grown deeper. This white paper highlights some of our key calls for Russia, Turkey and Iran, and their relations with the US. The report examines more than individual prices across products and services. Download the free report to find out where your city ranks. For the first time in three years, the latest edition of the Democracy Index — which assesses the global state of democracy in — does not register a deterioration.
But nor does it indicate any progress on a global scale. Despite a growing disillusionment with formal political institutions, political participation is on the rise as people are spurred into political action. The outlook for the global economy is worsening, and there are a number of risks that could drive growth even lower in This report analyses our top ten risks to the global economy, outlining each risk, and the impact it would have to the global political and economic order.
The EIU is the world's leading provider of country analysis and forecasts. Subscribers get access to regular, detailed economic and political forecasts for countries as well as assessments of the business and regulatory environment in different markets. Our services provide clients with a briefing on the outlook for a country, helping them to understand how things stand at the moment and the direction a country is moving in.
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We publish regular reports to help subscribers make informed and immediate decisions regarding a country's creditworthiness. Our operational risk experts provide regularly updated risk ratings for countries to help our clients assess and confront the risks facing their businesses.
Our content serves as a valuable early-warning device, alerting clients to threats in areas as varied as security, tax policy and the labour market. We offer a unique perspective on industries because of our understanding of global economic and political factors. This enables us to deliver strategic context for each industry.
We provide our clients with regular analysis of key events and company news for all major industries, keeping them abreast of how these events affect their businesses and giving them a deeper understanding of what future market trends mean to them. Our forecasts are based on the latest data and in-depth analysis of industry trends. We offer immediate access to a huge array of data for countries through our data subscription services. The world is changing rapidly. Where are the sources of revenue and profit going to be for your business tomorrow?
If you need to understand how political trends will affect regulations for your industry in Chile, how disposable income is changing for year-old women in Poland or when a frontier market in Sub-Saharan Africa will become mainstream, we can help. We understand that businesses need to identify where the next opportunity is coming from so that they can act fast to seize it.
Our knowledge of economics, politics and socio-demographics is second to none. If you need to see into the future, we can help. Our team comprises experts on every country in the world. If you need to know how quickly the US will grow over the next five years or what residential construction will take place in Saudi Arabia, we can help.
Or in Thailand, Algeria or Kazakhstan. But sometimes five years is not enough.
Many of our clients have investment horizons measured in decades. Our proprietary methodologies let us look ahead 30 years or more, using frameworks you can understand and rely on. And if countries are too broad for your business, we forecast growth, spending, income and investment in cities from Dongguan to Dhaka. We are able to draw upon the knowledge of a large pool of country and industry experts, as well as proprietary economic and risk models, to help clients identify new markets and perform better in existing ones in a fast-changing world. Through our structured cross-market research and forward-looking data and analysis we help you to understand how changing economic conditions affect your business:.
Success in business means the considered embracing of risk—without risk, there can be no reward. This means that risk management is an ongoing part of business life. But in order to manage risk, you need to measure it. We have tools and models that help to combine quantifiable risks such as default rates with qualitative issues such as political or regulatory instability.
We use these tools to help companies do everything from managing their supply chain to setting location-specific discount rates. Clients decide which countries to enter, which suppliers to order from and which logistics routes to use based on our bespoke dashboards. And, if you are focused on financial risks, we are a registered credit rating agency for assessing sovereign creditworthiness. We also assess exchange-rate and banking risks. We are the experts in data modelling and analysis. We use the very latest techniques to model our clients' sales data, helping them to predict how their business will perform.
Some even share our analysis with their suppliers to help to inform their production decisions. But we also produce bespoke models for other purposes. If you need to understand how a country or industry will respond to an event like a currency crash or energy shock, we can model that too. Or, if you are doing business planning, we can provide country, industry or market scenarios based on expert judgement, modelling or facilitated debates within your organisation.
We do not just look at countries or cities. We also analyse industries. Our speciality is to understand the intersection between industry developments and the surrounding economic, political and regulatory context. Our team has expertise in financial services, telecoms and technology, consumer goods and retail, automotive, healthcare and pharmaceuticals, commodities and energy. So if you need to dive deep on banking in Peru, tablets in Romania or mining in Mongolia, we can help.
We can also help to unravel the supply chain, identify the key regulatory decision-makers, analyse the purchasing decisions or pinpoint the logistical bottlenecks. If you need to make a decision, you need to rank the options. But how to do that when the key decision factors vary from economic to political, from cultural to geological? The Economist Intelligence Unit's benchmarking and indexing capabilities can help.
We are experts in combining qualitative and quantitative data, and weighting it together to form league tables and conduct multi-dimensional comparisons. We have helped companies to rank cities by their attractiveness to the car-rental industry, benchmarked the incentives offered in special economic zones for the technology industry and prioritised markets in Central America for a financial services firm.
We have even produced rankings of countries' peacefulness for a philanthropic organisation, and benchmarked the security regime that countries apply to their stocks of nuclear material. We have an especially deep capability in healthcare across developed and emerging markets. We offer services to insurers and payers, helping to design clinical care pathways, undertake medical evidence reviews and consult on value-based health.
We help pharmaceutical and medical technology firms to demonstrate value. We advise on strategy in all areas of healthcare using techniques such as horizon scanning and megatrend analysis. We provide market insight to pharmaceutical and medical technology firms and clinical providers through our market intelligence, market sizing, channel optimisation and commercial due diligence capabilities.
Go to our healthcare page.
The IMF and the World Bank
China is the second-largest economy in the world, and is the top destination for many international firms looking to grow. China is also home to many of the world's up-and-coming businesses, which are increasingly looking to expand in other emerging markets and also in western Europe and the US. Unsurprisingly, it is a market where we have exceptional expertise. Our Beijing and Shanghai team routinely tracks and forecasts developments in cities across the country to help our clients win in China.
And, for our Chinese clients, we tap into our worldwide team of experts to assess opportunity, help to manage risk and advise on strategy in any market in the world—and deliver our conclusions in China, in Chinese. We work with firms to anticipate and assess the probability and impact of legislation, regulations and election outcomes. Specifically, we determine the probability and the significance of political activity across key capitals, delivering smart insights through a range of services.
Read about the political implications associated with Brexit: Brexit and the rewriting of the rules of British politics. We have significant expertise in working with multinational corporations in the following distinct areas:. Second, using our proprietary methodology, we identify strategic positions with respect to key political and regulatory developments.
We have active, growing Corporate Networks in Istanbul and Dubai that run dozens of executive meetings each year. Please get in touch for more information. We have an active, growing Corporate Network in Johannesburg that runs dozens of executive meetings each year. We have active, growing Corporate Networks in Shanghai and Beijing that run dozens of executive meetings each year.
We have active, growing Corporate Networks in Singapore and Kuala Lumpur that run dozens of executive meetings each year. We have an active, growing Corporate Network in Tokyo that runs dozens of executive meetings each year. We have an active, growing Corporate Network in Hong Kong that runs dozens of executive meetings each year. The EIU publishes a number of reports each year focussing on current issues affecting specific countries, regions and industries. These reports are available at no cost and help business leaders prepare for opportunity. Download your copy today.
Each month The EIU publishes its forecast for the global economy. Watch this video to view a summary of our current forecast. The Global Forecasting Service GFS gives forecasts for the economies by region; identifying not only opportunities, but threats that may derail the forecasts. In addition a commodity outlook is provided for a range of hard and soft commodities. These forecasts provide the foundation for the information contained with The EIU subscription and custom research services. The GFS service is free of charge. Sign up for free newsletters and get more of the Economist Intelligence Unit delivered to your inbox.
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EIU Healthcare See sample Together with our two specialized consultancies, Bazian and Clearstate, EIU Healthcare provides you with the latest research, analysis and recommendations across the healthcare ecosystem. Frequency: Monthly. Frequency: Bi-monthly. The consumer practice provides data-driven solutions to consumer-facing industries, helping them to enter new markets and be more successful in current markets.
Through our people, our structured cross-market research and forward-looking data and analysis we help you understand how changing economic conditions impact your business. Our global public policy practice provides evidence-based research for policy makers and stakeholders seeking measurable outcomes. We are trusted by the most influential stakeholders in public policy and international development across the world — clients including The World Bank, Citigroup, United Nations and Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, to name but a few. We provide evidence-based research for policy makers and stakeholders seeking measurable outcomes.
China is the second-largest economy in the world, and a market where we have exceptional expertise. Our services are used by a diverse client base across businesses, governments, NGOs, and academic institutes. Rio Tinto employs people from all over the world to work in their Product Groups. As part of a human capital planning exercise, they needed information to validate the labour market risks they face as they develop their workforce and look to understand labour trends over the short to medium-terms.
With this information Rio Tinto made evidenced-based decisions on market priorities, operating conditions in key markets, and conducted detailed human capital planning in priority markets.
Simon English: Is it really all Going South? Please try to cheer up a bit, chaps | The Independent
Increasing global population and economic growth in emerging markets have put increasing pressure on food supply networks, raising prices around the world. As a company involved in food and agriculture, DuPont wanted to look at the challenges involved in the production and distribution of food globally, and identify which countries can improve food systems in order to improve overall food security. The EIU assessed the food security systems of over countries through a selection of approximately 20 to 25 quantitative and qualitative indicators. Today, the GFSI highlights where in the world nutritional quality and safety of foods is most at risk based on the underlying drivers most affecting food security.
US relations with Russia, Turkey and Iran: No détente in sight
Media hype about health stories often leads to an increased burden on health resources. Every morning two stories from the media are identified and our analysts will publish an unbiased critique with detailed reviews of clinical evidence on the NHS choices website by midafternoon. By reviewing the story, the evidence and the reporting, we provide a much more objective view.
This helps to empower patients to make informed choices in self-management of their care and exercise informed choice in making health decisions. As part of its mission to advance global human capital knowledge, the SHRM Foundation sought credible analysis on critical issues that will affect HR leaders in the coming years. Through a combination of data-driven research, direct engagement with stakeholders and effective market exposure, the SHRM Foundation's objective was to educate those in HR and business management and position itself as a globally recognized catalyst for shaping Talent Management Thought Leadership.
The EIU partnered with the SHRM Foundation on a multi-phase program to identify, analyse and then promote thought-provoking research on the most important trends affecting human capital management and global workforce dynamics by leveraging a combination of EIU expertise, surveys of business leaders and expert peer panels to identify the most relevant HR topics; creating a series of evidence based analyses and tangent content to educate and prepare HR leaders for key issues in their field; and engaging stakeholders with EIU produced research via events, seminars, online digital content, and broad public relations promotion.
The print industry is being disrupted by new technologies and trends putting pressure on the demand for print media. At the same time, rising incomes are boosting demand for printed materials in the developing world. NPES, a print industry trade association, wanted to inform its members of what print sectors and emerging markets have opportunities for growth. How fast will Turkey's print industry grow? Our client a major international bank offers a broad range of services to personal and institutional customers, including governments.
It has significant activities in a large number of countries. Consequently, there are many ways in which changes in business conditions and the economy in a single country or region or globally can adversely impact profitability, whether at the level of the group, individual business units or specific countries of operation. They use the service to understand the threat of sovereign default in individual countries as well as the risks associated with currencies and banking sectors around the world.
The Country Risk Service assists the bank in setting credit limits for countries and in controlling the risks that accompany investment in emerging and developed economies. Our client is a leading global management consulting firm focussed on serving and shaping the senior agenda of the world's leading institutions. They employ a significant number of staff in offices around the world.
They are able to draw on over a million data points from the Country Data service covering key indicators such as GDP growth, inflation and exchange rates. The EIU supplies its information services to many types of academic institutions. Our customers include Ivy League colleges, the highest-ranked European and Asian universities as well as the world's leading business schools. It is vital for students at these institutions to have a thorough grasp of the political, economic and business environment around the world now and in the future.